Chance Didn’t Have to Be This Hard · Chapter 15

Risk Headline Decoder

A relative risk has no size until you know the starting point. Put both risks on one scale: so many in 10,000, per what.

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From the book, Chapter 15. “Doubles the risk”: 1 in 10,000 to 2 in 10,000 is +100% relative but only 0.01 percentage points: one extra case in 10,000. “Cuts the risk in half”: 2 in 1,000 to 1 in 1,000, so 1,000 people need the change for one of them to benefit.

Exact arithmetic, worked the way the book shows. Everything stays in your browser: no sign-up, nothing stored or sent.